Hillary Clinton’s Latino voter support is not only increasing nationally, but also in key swing states, according to poll results released Tuesday by the National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials (NALEO) Educational Fund and conducted by polling firm Latino Decisions (LD).
The latest NALEO/LD poll asked registered Latino voters in Arizona, Florida, Nevada and North Carolina their choices for president. The poll said that Clinton leads Donald Trump 70%-18% in Arizona, 63%-23% in Florida, 72%-17% in Nevada and 69%-19% in North Carolina.
If these numbers hold three weeks from now, Clinton’s margins with Latino voters in these four swing states will match or in some instances surpass those of Barack Obama’s 2012 margins. According to NBC News’ 2012 exit poll data, Obama took 74% of the Latino vote in Arizona (compared to Mitt Romney’s 25%), 60% of the Latino vote in Florida (to Romney’s 39%), 71% of the Latino vote in Nevada (Romney 24%) and 68% of the Latino vote in North Carolina (Romney 18%). For Florida, the biggest prize of these four swing states, Clinton’s 63% is three points higher than Obama’s 2012 margin, while Trump’s 23% Florida showing is 16 points less than Romney’s 2012 support.
The previous national poll of Latino voters released last week by NALEO, Telemundo and LD showed Clinton leading Trump by 58 point (74%-16%).
The full toplines of this new swing states poll are below:
The swing states poll interviewed 400 Latino registered voters in each of four states from September 26-October 13.
Editor’s note: Latino Decisions’ co-founders conduct separate polling for the Clinton campaign. They are not associated with this NALEO tracking poll.