The sixth week of an eight-week Latino voter tracking poll from the National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials (NALEO) Educational Fund and Noticias Telemundo shows Hillary Clinton with a 59-point lead over Donald Trump.
According to the poll, which ran from October 17-22 and was conducted by Latino Decisions, Clinton received 74% of Latino support and Trump earned 15% support. The poll also reported that 60% of Clinton’s 74% support was “certain” to vote for the Democratic candidate, while only 10% of Trump’s 15% support was “certain” to vote for him.
Since the tracking poll started in early September, Clinton has seen a three-point increase in support (71% to 74%) and Trump has seen a three-point decrease (18% to 15%). According to Latino Decisions, a 2012 tracking poll of registered Latino voters at the same point as the 2016 tracking poll had Barack Obama leading Mitt Romney, 71% to 20% (+51).
If Trump’s numbers with Latino voters stay in the mid teens on Election Day, the 2016 Republican candidate will have earned the lowest support of any candidate from Latino voters since 1980. In 1996, according to Pew, Republican Bob Dole got 21% of the Latino vote.
In response to a new question about the 2016 election, the poll said that 72% of Latino voters believe that it is more important to vote in 2016 than it was in 2012. Furthermore, 42% said they have voted early or plan to vote early before Election Day, and 56% said that they “have talked to others (in person, social media, or other) to persuade them to go vote, or to support a candidate.”
This week’s poll interviewed 250 registered Latino voters and combined them with 250 responses from the previous week’s poll. The margin of error is +/- 4.4%. Here are the complete toplines:
Editor’s note: Latino Decisions’ co-founders conduct separate polling for the Clinton campaign. They are not associated with this NALEO/Noticias Telemundo tracking poll.
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