Donald Trump’s Latino support is back to pre-convention levels, according to the latest online New Latino Voice (NLV) tracking poll released Wednesday from Florida International University and Hispanic mobile advertising company Adsmovil.

In the tracking poll’s 27th week (October 24–31), Trump’s 17.2% support with Latino voters was his highest number since early June. Despite seeing his best performance in the NLV in about four months, the Republican candidate still trails Hillary Clinton (73.5%) by about 56 points with Latino voters in this week’s poll, with Other gaining 9.3% support. (NLV has recently included a October 3 Latino Decisions analysis to its slides, predicting that Clinton’s Latino electoral support would reach historic levels.)


Over the course of the tracking poll, Trump has had support numbers as low as 10.6% and Clinton’s numbers hit almost 85% in early October. However, since the October 3-10 poll, Trump has seen his support increase by almost seven points (10.6% to 17.2%) and Clinton has seen her support decrease by close to 11 points (84.3% to 73.5%). Recently, on October 28th, Clinton’s email controversy once again returned to the spotlight, raising hope for Trump’s campaign.


Trump’s support continues to skew older, as the latest numbers from this week’s poll show:

vote3On Monday, Clinton was leading Trump, 74%-14%, in a poll of registered Latino voters from NALEO/Noticias Telemundo. The 60-point lead is more in line to NLV’s 56-point margin, and if these spreads hold on Election Day, Clinton would have outperformed President Barack Obama’s Latino vote numbers over Mitt Romney in 2012.

The latest NLV toplines are below. Poll organizers told Latino USA that it plans to publish the results of one final pre-election tracking poll on November 7. (For more about NLV’s methodology, click here.)


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