Donald Trump’s support with Latino voters has reached close to 23%, based on the final survey of a 28-week New Latino Voice (NLV) online tracking poll series from Florida International University’s Steven J. Green School of International & Public Affairs and Hispanic mobile advertising firm Adsmovil.
In a poll conducted from November 1-6 that sampled 2,855 online Latinos on a question about presidential preferences (read NLV’s methodology here), Trump earned 22.8% support to Hillary Clinton’s 70.7% support. (NLV has recently included a October 3 Latino Decisions analysis to its slides, predicting that Clinton’s Latino electoral support would reach historic levels. Last week, Latino Decisions predicted a 79%-18% Clinton advantage with Latinos. )
Since early October, when Trump’s Latino support was at 10.6%, the Republican candidate has seen his support increase by more than 12 points, according to NLV. Clinton has seen her support decrease by 14 points during that same time period. However, if Clinton were to win the Latino vote 71%-23% (48-point margin), she would still outperform President Barack Obama’s 2012 71%-27% (44-point margin) win over Mitt Romney.
According to NLV’s latest results, Trump’s support has increased with younger Latino voters as well.
Throughout the course of its 28-week tracking poll series, NLV’s results have been consistent with other national polls that have specifically focused on Latinos, especially a NALEO/Telemundo eight-week tracking poll that showed Clinton winning, 76%-14%, on Monday. Trump’s current number in the NLV poll is more in line with a Washington Post/Univision poll released last week that had Clinton at 67% and Trump at 19%.
NLV’s latest toplines are here: